英特尔的黯淡也掩盖不住NVIDIA的灿烂?
PC芯片巨头英特尔近日报告了有力的第四季度财报,但伴随2016年并不乐观的开场,英特尔和它的很多PC市场的同行们的股价都大幅下挫。这些股票中,遭到牵连的包括图形处理器厂商NVIDIA,然而,我相信华尔街把它像脏水一样泼出去的做法太过仓促了,因为在英特尔身上产生的很多结果对NVIDIA反而预示着利好。
After PC chip giant Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) reported solid fourth-quarter results, but guided to an underwhelming start to 2016, Intel and many of its PC-exposed peers saw their share prices drop significantly.
Among those stocks "wounded" was graphics specialist NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA). However, I believe the Street may have been too hasty in throwing out this particular baby with the bath water, as Intel's results actually contained some fairly good news for NVIDIA.
Remember, NVIDIA is only exposed to part of the PC market
The majority of Intel's revenues come from the sale of PC platforms. The chipmaker's products SPAN the entire gamut of PCs, from very low-cost "netbook"-like systems all the way up through extremely high-performance gaming PCs.
The majority of NVIDIA's graphics-related revenue, on the other hand, comes from selling products to PC gamers. Unlike the mainstream PC market, which is still fairly weak as device upgrade cycles are longer, and many "typical" computing tasks have moved to devices like smartphones and tablets, the gaming PC market is doing extremely well.
In fact, on Intel's earnings call, management claimed that both its Core i7 processors as well as its unlocked, PC gaming enthusiast-oriented "K" series parts (which includes both Core i5 and Core i7) "set all-time volume records."
It is the strength of this segment that gives me confidence that a large portion of NVIDIA's graphics business should remain quite healthy, even if the overall PC market slows down.
How can we draw that conclusion?
In order to understand why the Intel results are good for NVIDIA, it's important to have some understanding of the buying habits of the kinds of folks who will buy Intel's gaming-oriented CPUs.
In a typical gaming PC, I have found that the graphics cards usually need to be replaced at a more rapid rate than the CPU and motherboard do. This is because advancements in enthusiast PC processor performance tend not to be huge generation-over-generation, and the CPU requirements of most games aren't going up at that rapid of a clip.
In contrast, graphics processors tend to get significantly faster with each passing generation, and games tend to see dramatic increases in the kind of graphical horsepower needed to run. Additionally, PC display resolutions continue to increase, as do maximum refresh rates (the rate at which the screen can update) and to support both of those, significant additional graphics horsepower is needed.
All in all, if Intel's high-end, gaming-oriented CPU business is healthy, the bulk of NVIDIA's gaming business should be in good shape.
NVIDIA isn't completely immune, however
Although I would say NVIDIA is more insulated from a broad PC slowdown than Intel is given NVIDIA's narrower focus, the company isn't completely immune to a potential slowdown in the PC/workstation market.
NVIDIA still has exposure to the non-gaming segment of the PC market via its OEM and IP business, and the performance of the company's Quadro workstation/professional graphics still seems largely tied to the performance of the workstation market (and with NVIDIA reporting that Quadro sales were down 8% year over year last quarter, that market doesn't look great).
With that in mind,
- 显卡市场份额之争 AMD逐渐让位NVIDIA(08-04)
- GE Fanuc智能平台引用NVIDIA’s CUDA技术(09-16)
- Q1全球独显出货量暴跌三成,AMD、英伟达一片哀嚎(05-02)
- 台式PC无法满足胃口,Nvidia继续向移动图形处理前行(01-12)
- 清华同方酝酿暑促变局(05-17)
- 图形芯片竞争不断升级 Nvidia市场份额增12%(06-02)